格物致知(Thinking&Walking)

所有人都新年快乐，新年新希望

A new approach to China

Like many other well-known organizations, we face cyber attacks of varying degrees on a regular basis. In mid-December, we detected a highly sophisticated and targeted attack on our corporate infrastructure originating from China that resulted in the theft of intellectual property from Google. However, it soon became clear that what at first appeared to be solely a security incident--albeit a significant one--was something quite different.

First, this attack was not just on Google. As part of our investigation we have discovered that at least twenty other large companies from a wide range of businesses--including the Internet, finance, technology, media and chemical sectors--have been similarly targeted. We are currently in the process of notifying those companies, and we are also working with the relevant U.S. authorities.

Second, we have evidence to suggest that a primary goal of the attackers was accessing the Gmail accounts of Chinese human rights activists. Based on our investigation to date we believe their attack did not achieve that objective. Only two Gmail accounts appear to have been accessed, and that activity was limited to account information (such as the date the account was created) and subject line, rather than the content of emails themselves.

Third, as part of this investigation but independent of the attack on Google, we have discovered that the accounts of dozens of U.S.-, China- and Europe-based Gmail users who are advocates of human rights in China appear to have been routinely accessed by third parties. These accounts have not been accessed through any security breach at Google, but most likely via phishing scams or malware placed on the users' computers.

We have already used information gained from this attack to make infrastructure and architectural improvements that enhance security for Google and for our users. In terms of individual users, we would advise people to deploy reputable anti-virus and anti-spyware programs on their computers, to install patches for their operating systems and to update their web browsers. Always be cautious when clicking on links appearing in instant messages and emails, or when asked to share personal information like passwords online. You can read more here about our cyber-security recommendations. People wanting to learn more about these kinds of attacks can read this Report to Congress (PDF) by the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (see p. 163-), as well as a related analysis (PDF) prepared for the Commission, Nart Villeneuve's blog and this presentation on the GhostNet spying incident.

We have taken the unusual step of sharing information about these attacks with a broad audience not just because of the security and human rights implications of what we have unearthed, but also because this information goes to the heart of a much bigger global debate about freedom of speech. In the last two decades, China's economic reform programs and its citizens' entrepreneurial flair have lifted hundreds of millions of Chinese people out of poverty. Indeed, this great nation is at the heart of much economic progress and development in the world today.

We launched Google.cn in January 2006 in the belief that the benefits of increased access to information for people in China and a more open Internet outweighed our discomfort in agreeing to censor some results. At the time we made clear that "we will carefully monitor conditions in China, including new laws and other restrictions on our services. If we determine that we are unable to achieve the objectives outlined we will not hesitate to reconsider our approach to China."

These attacks and the surveillance they have uncovered--combined with the attempts over the past year to further limit free speech on the web--have led us to conclude that we should review the feasibility of our business operations in China. We have decided we are no longer willing to continue censoring our results on Google.cn, and so over the next few weeks we will be discussing with the Chinese government the basis on which we could operate an unfiltered search engine within the law, if at all. We recognize that this may well mean having to shut down Google.cn, and potentially our offices in China.

The decision to review our business operations in China has been incredibly hard, and we know that it will have potentially far-reaching consequences. We want to make clear that this move was driven by our executives in the United States, without the knowledge or involvement of our employees in China who have worked incredibly hard to make Google.cn the success it is today. We are committed to working responsibly to resolve the very difficult issues raised.

RT

谷歌中国称将停止内容审查

冬天来了，春天还会远吗？

大早去车站买月票，Zhoux成了Ryan和我债权人。晚上下班去城里找atm取钱，发现最近的atm无法取现，于是进行了一次满城寻找，最后在一条小街上看到3个并排的ATM，真是让人内牛满面啊。

it's hard to tell what's good or bad before EXPERIENCING it.

snow, small town, and cold

当然我们也不能不看到，本世纪的第二个十年也完全有可能成为中国经济失去增长动力、从而由增长转为停滞的历史性转折期。直接导致这个转折的基本原因可能来自内外两个方面：内部的原因在于，中国现有的社会和政治构架缺乏调整国内现有利益格局和产业结构的能力；而外部的原因则在于，在经历了持续二十年的快速经济全球化之后、尤其是经过此次世界经济危机之后，经济全球化在速度上和结构上不可避免地作出新一轮的调整。

总之，2009年的经济发展趋势表明，虽然中国具有通过转变经济结构，将发展的中心转变到以国内消费为主的经济潜力，但是中国的现有政治格局、尤其是既得利益集团和政府的密切结合正在成为妨碍实现这一转变的国内因素；而以“平衡发展”为方针的经济全球化的调整则使得中国利用依靠出口来缓和由于国内调整而产生的矛盾更加困难。能否成功的解决这两个问题，是中国能否在二十一世纪的第二个十年持续高速经济增长的关键。

冬天来了，春天还会远吗？

两个感慨

1. 克努格曼的经济学奖现在看来是拿得有点便宜的
2. 难得的是美国的媒体如何以独立的观点来报道看上去对美国有利的言论的，如果有一天中国的媒体也有机会做得到了，中国也就真的进步了

纽约时报》专栏作家保罗•克鲁格曼12月31日发表专栏文章《属于中国的新年》(Chinese New Year)，反映出在美国如何应对中国贸易顺差的讨论中一种越来越怨忿的情绪。这位获得过诺贝尔奖的经济学家不顾主流经济学界普遍认同的自由贸易，赞成用保护主义来解决美国就业不足的问题，基本上是在问中国有没有胆量通过大量抛售其美国国债储备来做出反应。
专栏文章完全推翻了有关美中贸易关系的固有思路。几十年以来，研究经济学的人都被一再灌输，1929年正是以臭名昭著的“斯姆特－霍利关税”(Smoot-Hawley Tariff)为代表的日益升级的贸易保护主义，把全球经济送进了棺材。克鲁格曼用赞成的口吻引述最近去世的凯恩斯派经济学家萨缪尔森(Paul Samuelson)的话说，当就业“低于充分水平”时，重商主义政策实际上是恰当的。
同样，北京抛售所持大量美国国债的可能性常常被视为一种在世界末日才会发生的事情，克鲁格曼对这一前景却颇为乐观。他在文章中说，中国这样做，可能会让美元对其他货币贬值，但这对美国的竞争力和就业来讲，是好事而不是坏事；所以如果中国人真的大量抛售了美元，我们应该跟他们说声谢谢。
读者或许希望克鲁格曼提出更多的证据来支持自己的论点。但除了简短地引用萨缪尔森的话以外，他基本上没有解释为什么保护主义是就业不足的恰当应对措施。他还说，中国购买美国债券的行为对美国利率影响不大甚至没有影响。估计很多经济学家会对此持不同意见。
令人吃惊的是，新年伊始，美国最受推崇、影响力最大的经济学家之一实质上在喊着要和中国打一场贸易战。克鲁格曼这些主张与工会和某些议员多年来所说的很相似，而这些主张常常为重要经济学家所驳斥。克鲁格曼称中国的汇率政策是“重商主义的”，是“掠夺性的”，语调之尖锐，比得上任何一位反华派议员。这场辩论的方向似乎已经发生了变化，而且对中国不利。

相关搜索词: 新政仇和汪洋改革开放崇民

崇民随笔——汪洋、仇和，离我很远又很近
　　今日浏览人民网首页，“中国共产党新闻”栏目，《“少帅”汪洋的仕途轨迹：从铜陵改革　到南粤新政》！令我眼睛陡亮，咦？！那可是高层动态哟。http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64093/67507/10684994.html
　　细细查看，发出时间2009年12月31日07:43，赶早的；来源：人民网－《大地》，权威。文章标题、内容乃至写法，更是耳目一新。改革，新政，就是主题词了？！
　　“改革，新政”，自然不仅仅汪洋有，全国各级执政行政者都该有。最近最新的感受，于我而言，还有一位仇和。汪洋、仇和，两位偏北方人，竟然都离奇地在南方各自地盘“改革、新政”，也许气候暖和吧。
　　汪洋、仇和离我很远很远，不论从“仕途”官衔、出生地、还是现在所居地。与汪洋无从谋面，即或在重庆主政、即或来四川平息汉源事件，也许我从媒体、坊间知道他一些言行。与仇和一月前也无从谋面，即或“焦点访谈”聚焦他，也没有机会看见他的视频画面。当他俩“轰轰烈烈”改革、新政时，我始终留意，依然很远很远观望、守候。
　　还有一个“远”，仿佛几百年几千年没有了他们的声音？汪洋的“声音”因了广东、因了其“政治局委员”从没间断；仇和的“声音”、即使他自己刻意不出即使偏居西南边陲一隅，还是间或传达；倒是“改革”的强音，几乎没有从传统媒体、新兴网络散播，离我更离公众遥远。
　　更有一个“远”，周围执政行政的领导，即或一天到黑在“改革”在“新政”，没有人理直气壮挂在嘴上了。尤其觉得远的是，改革举措悄然无息、飘渺无迹了。民生也罢、科学发展也罢，不革除过往陈规陋习，不以改革的心气魄力切实推进，不以改革精神落实促进发展，也许游离本质、游离真相、游离民众较远。
　　汪洋、仇和离我很近很近，不论是心理、行为，还是大势所趋、民心所愿。
　　２００７年“最牛钉子户”事件，在３月２２日就要“强撤”前，21日我发过一帖：且慢强制执行，把“史上最牛钉子户”处理成公平正义的典范。帖子被人民网推荐上了首页，还发到了汪洋眼皮底下的网站去了。最终，“汪洋没有寻求有关部门封锁媒体的报道，没有动用执法部门‘硬来’，而是指示各方与户主积极谈判，并最终以一种理性、和平的方式圆满解决了此事，赢得了国内外媒体的高度称赞。”今年１月７日，人民网：汪洋批地方官:“讲总量如数家珍，说人均闪烁其词”。新华网：汪洋叹“讲总量如数家珍谈人均闪烁其词”。我再次发过评论：汪洋叹“人均”，在“引”不在“批”。为他的“新政”注释，“单相思” 而已。
　　年底，获邀赴昆明，终于握到了仇和的手，甚至气息互“撞”。面听讲话之前，我甚至“私访”（当地媒体用语）了昆明市民，固执地主观地发了四篇议论昆明改革“新政”的文字。第五篇是：改革开放更上层楼，期待昆明、期待仇和！似乎没有多大反响，我也没有得到想得到的回馈信息。但我短信告诉昆明常委宣传部长张红平：请转告本意为民好，为他好，为改革开放好！
　　这里的“近”，我理解的是大是大非立场上对民众的深厚感情、对事业的不懈执着、对党和国家的忠诚。这种“近”，于他们而言几乎来不及感觉与 “接收”；于我而言没有丝毫攀附逐利升官的幻想与欲念。遥不可及的“近”，我以为很吻合“官”民通心、“官”民一体的境界。载体实在只有一个：尊民引民为民的改革开放。
　　远在江湖四海，近及心灵行为。过去的欢乐与忧患，过了值得回味。明天就是２０１０，我和汪洋、仇和不论远近，都无关紧要、不值一提；汪洋、仇和离我远近也不咋个，我还是过自家的日子。
　　但，汪洋、仇和们肩负的改革开放重任，卸不得；汪洋、仇和们的改革开放标志，别遮蔽；汪洋、仇和们越多，离我越近、离各族人民越近、离中国公民越近，中华民族更有幸福美好未来，中国更有坚强的基础！
　　辞旧迎新，２００９要走，结束帖；２０１０开步，前看文。

还等个2年，看看有没有好转。至少还是可以看到像汪洋这样（目前还算）靠谱的官员。希望还在，耐心点。